TOTAL VOLUME:

$61.9b

24H VOL:

$249,705,498

24H TRANSACTIONS:

600,069,390

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,354,509,605

579,516

Markets across

14,317

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,116

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

50%

VS.

Kalshi:

50%

BETA
polymarket
kalshi
Trending
Entertainment

What will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? Odds & Prediction Markets

Volume:
$61,959
PredictionHero
War Machine 100%
polymarket
War Machine 99%
kalshi
Trolls 50%
kalshi
Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Mar 2026Jun…020406080100

Closed: Mar 30, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade

Description

This event group asks which movie will rank #2 on Netflix's global Top 10 Movies list for the week ending Sunday, March 30, 2026, based on total views globally. Netflix publishes this ranking every Tuesday at 3:00 PM ET on top10.netflix.com, covering only English-language films. The market resolves to whichever specific movie title (or 'Other') Netflix officially lists in the #2 position in that update.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Polymarket includes a catch-all 'another movie' option and uses a fallback resolution rule ('Other') if Netflix does not publish by April 3, 2026, while Kalshi lists only specific named movies with no catch-all or fallback mechanism.

Hero Tip:

If you bet on Kalshi and the #2 movie is not in Kalshi's explicit list, your market will not resolve YES. Conversely, Polymarket's 'another movie' option provides coverage for any unlisted title. Additionally, if Netflix fails to publish by April 3, Polymarket resolves to 'Other', but Kalshi has no stated resolution rule for non-publication.

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Polymarket:

    Aligned with Kalshi on core resolution source (Netflix Top 10 Global Movies chart published March 31, 2026) and timing, but diverges by including a catch-all option and a non-publication fallback: 'If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to Other.'

  • Kalshi:

    Aligned with Polymarket on core resolution source (Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart published March 31, 2026) and timing, but diverges by listing only 18 specific named movies with no catch-all option and no stated fallback if Netflix does not publish: each market resolves YES only if that specific movie is #2.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.