TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
War Machine
all
2 markets
Polymarket
Kalshi
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Apr 1, 2026
Closed: Mar 30, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
This event group asks which movie will rank #2 on Netflix's global Top 10 Movies list for the week ending Sunday, March 30, 2026, based on total views globally. Netflix publishes this ranking every Tuesday at 3:00 PM ET on top10.netflix.com, covering only English-language films. The market resolves to whichever specific movie title (or 'Other') Netflix officially lists in the #2 position in that update.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Polymarket includes a catch-all 'another movie' option and uses a fallback resolution rule ('Other') if Netflix does not publish by April 3, 2026, while Kalshi lists only specific named movies with no catch-all or fallback mechanism.Hero tip: If you bet on Kalshi and the #2 movie is not in Kalshi's explicit list, your market will not resolve YES. Conversely, Polymarket's 'another movie' option provides coverage for any unlisted title. Additionally, if Netflix fails to publish by April 3, Polymarket resolves to 'Other', but Kalshi has no stated resolution rule for non-publication.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Aligned with Kalshi on core resolution source (Netflix Top 10 Global Movies chart published March 31, 2026) and timing, but diverges by including a catch-all option and a non-publication fallback: 'If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by April 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to Other.'
- Kalshi: Aligned with Polymarket on core resolution source (Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart published March 31, 2026) and timing, but diverges by listing only 18 specific named movies with no catch-all option and no stated fallback if Netflix does not publish: each market resolves YES only if that specific movie is #2.