This event group covers a Women's College Basketball (WBB) matchup between West Virginia Mountaineers and UCF Knights scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement, cancellation, and overtime.
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both a UCF win and a West Virginia win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market logically unresolvable and unable to differentiate outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's version until corrected. The market cannot distinguish winners. Polymarket's binary logic (WVU vs UCF) is the only resolvable version currently available.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary outcome market with clear winner determination. Resolves to 'West Virginia Mountaineers' if WVU wins or 'UCF Knights' if UCF wins. Handles edge cases: postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Final score including overtime determines result.
Kalshi:
Contradictory resolution logic. States both 'If UCF wins...resolves to Yes' and 'If West Virginia wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where both mutually exclusive outcomes map to the same resolution state, rendering the market unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.