TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional English Premier League soccer match between West Ham United FC and Manchester City FC scheduled for March 14, 2026. The markets track three possible outcomes: a Manchester City win, a West Ham win, or a draw, all determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause, while Polymarket specifies that a canceled match with no rescheduling resolves Yes for the draw market but No for both win markets. Postponement handling also differs: Polymarket explicitly keeps markets open until completion; Kalshi is silent.Hero Tip:
Monitor Premier League announcements for any postponement or cancellation of the March 14, 2026 match. If cancellation occurs without rescheduling, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes while its win markets resolve No, creating potential cross-platform settlement conflicts. Request explicit cancellation/postponement guidance from Kalshi before the match date.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Treats all three outcomes (Manchester City win, West Ham win, Tie) as Yes resolutions. No explicit language addressing cancellation, postponement, or alternative scenarios. Resolution scope is strictly 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.Polymarket:
Three separate markets with differentiated cancellation logic: Draw market resolves Yes if game ends in draw OR if canceled entirely with no make-up game. Win markets resolve No if canceled entirely with no make-up game. Postponed games remain open until completion. All markets reference Premier League official statistics as primary source, with credible reporting as fallback if statistics unavailable within 2 hours of conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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