Wellington Phoenix FC and Western Sydney Wanderers FC are scheduled to compete in an A-League match on April 18, 2026. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are being traded: a Wellington win, a Western Sydney win, or a draw. The markets resolve based on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with official A-League statistics as the primary source.
Kalshi market resolves YES for ALL possible outcomes (Western Sydney win, Draw, or Wellington win), making it logically impossible to resolve to NO. This creates a fundamental contradiction with Polymarket's three mutually exclusive binary markets.
Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market. It is unresolvable as written. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three outcome markets will resolve YES and the other two NO — trade those instead for clear risk/reward.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three mutually exclusive binary markets: Western Sydney Win (YES/NO), Draw (YES/NO), Wellington Win (YES/NO). Exactly one resolves YES based on the 90-minute match result. Cancellation with no make-up resolves the Draw market to YES and the two team-win markets to NO.
Kalshi:
Single market with three resolution conditions: 'If Western Sydney Wanderers wins... then YES. If Tie wins... then YES. If Wellington wins... then YES.' This means the market resolves YES regardless of outcome, with no NO resolution path defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.