TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Washington Huskies and Oregon Ducks scheduled for March 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi are designed to resolve based on the final game outcome, with specific provisions for postponements and cancellations.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction: both Washington win and Oregon win are mapped to the same resolution value (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract. Polymarket uses standard winner-take-all logic with clear edge-case handling.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi until the rule is corrected or clarified by the platform. The rule as written violates basic binary market semantics. Polymarket is the reliable reference for this event.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Winner-take-all binary resolution. Resolves to Washington Huskies or Oregon Ducks based on final score including overtime. Postponements keep market open; full cancellations resolve 50-50. Source: NCAA.com.Kalshi:
Logically contradictory rule: both Washington win and Oregon win stated to resolve to Yes. No explicit handling of postponements or cancellations. This creates an impossible resolution state for a binary market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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