TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Golden State Warriors and Washington Wizards scheduled for March 16, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline outcomes, point spreads across multiple thresholds, over/under totals, first-half betting, and individual player prop bets (points, rebounds, assists) for key roster players from both teams.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket use identical resolution logic: official NBA box score, overtime inclusion, 50-50 on cancellation, player inactivity defaults to No, and consistent threshold interpretation across all market types.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NBA box score as published on NBA.comCore resolution logic:
- Moneyline: Warriors win resolves to Warriors; Wizards win resolves to Wizards
- Point Spreads: Warriors must win by the specified margin (e.g., 7+ points for -6.5 spread) to resolve Warriors; otherwise resolves Wizards; ties resolve Wizards
- Over/Under Totals: Combined final score of both teams; Over if total meets or exceeds threshold plus 1 (e.g., 232+ for 231.5 line); Under otherwise
- First-Half Markets: Determined by halftime score only; halftime ties resolve 50-50
- Player Props: Over threshold if stat exceeds specified value (e.g., 12.5 points means 13+ resolves Yes); At or below threshold resolves No; player inactivity resolves No
- Game Postponement: Markets remain open until game completion
- Complete Cancellation: All markets resolve 50-50 if game is canceled with no make-up scheduled
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Halftime Tie: First-half moneyline and first-half spread markets resolve 50-50 if the score is tied at halftime
- Player Inactivity: All individual player prop markets resolve No if the player is listed as inactive or does not take the court at any point during the game
- Game Postponement: If the game is postponed, all markets remain open and do not resolve until the game is completed
- Complete Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50
- Overtime Inclusion: All statistics and scores include any overtime periods played; the entire game is considered for resolution
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the final official NBA box score is published on NBA.com following game completion, including any overtime periodsOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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