TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the NBA game between the Golden State Warriors and Oklahoma City Thunder scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET in Oklahoma City. Markets span moneyline outcomes, point spreads, over/under totals, first-half results, and individual player prop bets across points, rebounds, and assists.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Kalshi and Polymarket apply identical resolution logic: official NBA box score determines all outcomes, overtime is included for full-game markets, halftime score only for first-half markets, player inactivity triggers No resolution for props, and cancellation without makeup results in 50-50 split.
Primary resolution logic:
Official NBA box score as published on NBA.comCore resolution logic:
- Moneyline/Spread markets: Determined by final score including all overtime periods
- First-half markets: Determined by score at halftime only
- Over/Under totals: Combined team points must meet or exceed stated threshold (e.g., 220+ for O/U 219.5)
- Spread markets: Winning team must win by the stated margin or greater (e.g., Thunder -14.5 requires 15+ point win)
- Player prop markets: Resolve Yes if player exceeds stated threshold, No if at or below threshold
- Player inactivity: Any player listed inactive or not taking court results in No resolution for that player's props
- Postponement: Markets remain open until game completion
- Cancellation without makeup: All markets resolve 50-50
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Tied halftime score: First-half moneyline resolves 50-50 if score is tied at halftime
- Exact threshold hit: Player scoring exactly 16.5 points resolves No (must be more than threshold); O/U 219.5 with 219 combined points resolves Under (must be 220+)
- Game postponement: All markets remain open and unresolved until the game is played to completion
- Game cancellation: If canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve 50-50
- Overtime inclusion: Full-game markets include all overtime periods; first-half markets use halftime score only regardless of overtime
Timing:
Resolution occurs after final score is official on NBA.com following game completion (including any overtime). First-half markets resolve at halftime. Player prop resolution uses final box score including all overtime periods.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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