TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between Wagner Seahawks and New Haven Chargers scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (New Haven win OR Wagner win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), rendering the market unresolvable as a meaningful prediction instrument. This is a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is unresolvable in its current form. Trade only on Polymarket, which has proper binary resolution logic. If you hold Kalshi positions, seek clarification from Kalshi support before settlement, as the market may resolve incorrectly or be voided.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Binary outcome market with mutually exclusive resolution paths. Wagner win resolves to Wagner Seahawks; New Haven win resolves to New Haven Chargers. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.Kalshi:
Both conditional branches resolve to Yes: New Haven win -> Yes, AND Wagner win -> Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where the market cannot differentiate between outcomes, making it unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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