TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between Wagner Seahawks and Mercyhurst Lakers scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread outcomes, and total points scored across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Wagner win and Mercyhurst win) are mapped to Yes with no defined No condition, making the market unresolvable as written. Polymarket's equivalent market uses mutually exclusive categorical outcomes that are logically sound.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline without explicit platform clarification. Use Polymarket moneyline, spreads, and totals as your primary resolution reference. All Polymarket derivative markets (spreads at -4.5 and -5.5, totals at 132.5 and 133.5) follow standard sports betting logic and should resolve cleanly based on final score including overtime.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market maps both Wagner win and Mercyhurst win to Yes resolution with no stated No condition. This creates a logical impossibility: the market cannot distinguish between the two outcomes or define what would resolve to No. Quote: 'If Wagner wins...resolves to Yes. If Mercyhurst wins...resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Moneyline market uses mutually exclusive categorical outcomes: Wagner Seahawks or Mercyhurst Lakers. Spread markets (-4.5 and -5.5) resolve to one team if margin threshold is met, otherwise the other team. Totals (132.5 and 133.5) resolve Over/Under based on combined score. All markets include 50-50 cancellation protocol if game is canceled with no makeup. Quote: 'If the Wagner Seahawks win, the market will resolve to Wagner Seahawks. If the Mercyhurst Lakers win, the market will resolve to Mercyhurst Lakers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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