TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Egyptian Premier League soccer match between Wadi Degla SC and Pharco FC scheduled for April 8, 2026. Markets are offered on three possible outcomes: Wadi Degla SC win, Pharco FC win, or a draw, with resolution based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable: all three outcomes (Wadi Degla win, Pharco win, tie) are defined to resolve the same market to YES, making it impossible to distinguish between them. Polymarket uses three separate, mutually exclusive markets with standard binary resolution logic, allowing clear differentiation of all three outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market for this event group. The market is fundamentally broken and cannot be settled fairly—all three possible match outcomes would trigger YES on the same market, violating basic logical consistency. Polymarket's three separate markets (Wadi Degla win, Pharco win, draw) are resolvable and should be used instead.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi defines a single market where all three possible outcomes (Wadi Degla win, Pharco win, or tie) resolve to YES. This creates a logical contradiction—the market cannot distinguish between outcomes and will always resolve YES regardless of the match result. The rules state 'If Wadi Degla SC wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Pharco wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' making settlement impossible.Polymarket:
Aligned with standard binary market logic: Polymarket uses three separate, mutually exclusive markets—one for each outcome (Wadi Degla win, Pharco win, draw). Each market resolves YES or NO based on a single outcome, with clear resolution rules tied to official EFA statistics. For example, 'If Wadi Degla SC wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.