TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
More markets for the Norway Eliteserien game, scheduled for April 19 at 8:30 AM ET.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi markets resolve YES for all possible outcomes (Valerenga win, tie, or Lillestrøm win), making them logically unresolvable and fundamentally incompatible with Polymarket's outcome-specific resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group. All three Kalshi markets are structurally broken and will resolve YES regardless of match result. Polymarket markets are resolvable and should be your only trading venue for this matchup.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
All markets resolve to a single outcome based on specific match result criteria: spread markets require a team to win by N+ goals, over/under markets require combined goals to meet thresholds, and both-teams-to-score requires each team to score at least one goal. Each market has mutually exclusive YES/NO outcomes tied to the final score.Kalshi:
All three markets are identically worded: 'If [Team A] wins... then resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then resolves to Yes. If [Team B] wins... then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where every possible outcome (win, tie, loss) triggers YES resolution, making the markets unresolvable. Quote: 'If Valerenga wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Lillestroem wins... then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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