TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming J1 100 Year Vision League game, scheduled for Wednesday, March 18, 2026 between Vissel Kōbe and Gamba Ōsaka.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market rules create a logical contradiction where all three possible outcomes (Kobe win, Gamba win, tie) resolve to YES, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary logic with three separate markets that correctly partition the outcome space.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's markets entirely—they are logically broken and will create settlement disputes. Trade only on Polymarket, which uses standard binary resolution (YES/NO) for each outcome with clear, mutually exclusive conditions.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's three markets all resolve to YES regardless of outcome. Market 1 states 'If Gamba wins... resolves to Yes', Market 2 states 'If Tie wins... resolves to Yes', and Market 3 states 'If Kobe wins... resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible match result triggers YES on all three markets simultaneously, violating basic market partition logic.Polymarket:
Aligned with standard binary logic: Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolution conditions. Market 1 (Kobe win) resolves YES only if Kobe wins, NO otherwise. Market 2 (Draw) resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw, NO otherwise. Market 3 (Gamba win) resolves YES only if Gamba wins, NO otherwise. Exactly one market will resolve YES and two will resolve NO, as stated: 'If Vissel Kōbe wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.