TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Villanova Wildcats and Xavier Musketeers scheduled for February 17, 2026 at 6:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds, and over/under totals at various point levels.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Villanova win and Xavier win) are mapped to the same resolution (Yes), making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically sound and consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline for this matchup. Use Polymarket for all markets: moneyline resolves to team name, spreads resolve based on point differential thresholds, and totals resolve based on combined score thresholds. Confirm game is played (not canceled or indefinitely postponed) before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline markets state: 'If Villanova wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Xavier wins...resolves to Yes'. Both outcomes map to identical resolution, creating logical impossibility. No clear distinction between winning and losing outcomes.Polymarket:
Moneyline: Resolves to 'Villanova Wildcats' if Villanova wins, 'Xavier Musketeers' if Xavier wins. Spreads: -4.5 resolves to Villanova if win by 5+, -3.5 resolves to Villanova if win by 4+. Totals: 152.5 resolves Over at 153+, 151.5 resolves Over at 152+, 153.5 resolves Over at 154+. All logic is clear and mutually exclusive.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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