TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Villanova Wildcats and St. John's Red Storm scheduled for February 28, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread (-7.5 St. John's), and over/under totals (146.5 and 147.5 combined points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (St. John's win and Villanova win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market due to the data integrity failure. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets are all resolvable and use standard sports betting logic. Confirm game completion status before settlement - postponed games remain open; canceled games with no makeup resolve 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states: 'If St. John's wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Villanova wins...resolves to Yes'. This creates a logical impossibility where every outcome triggers Yes resolution, rendering the market unresolvable.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to 'Villanova Wildcats' if Villanova wins or 'St. John's Red Storm' if St. John's wins - mutually exclusive outcomes. Spread market: St. John's resolves if they win by 8+ points, otherwise Villanova. Totals: Over at 147+ points (146.5 line) and 148+ points (147.5 line); Under otherwise. All markets include postponement continuance and 50-50 cancellation provisions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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