TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Villanova Wildcats and DePaul Blue Demons scheduled for March 4, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple spread variations (-3.5, -2.5, -1.5), and total points (O/U 135.5) across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline markets contain a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket provides clear, mutually exclusive categorical outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi moneyline markets as specified. Rely on Polymarket moneyline for winner determination. For all spread and total markets, use Polymarket's resolution logic as the authoritative source, as it includes explicit edge case handling (postponement, cancellation with 50-50 split).Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline markets state both DePaul win and Villanova win resolve to Yes, creating a logical contradiction. No edge case language provided for postponement or cancellation.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to categorical outcomes: Villanova Wildcats or DePaul Blue Demons. Spread markets (-3.5, -2.5, -1.5) use point differential thresholds. Total market (O/U 135.5) uses 136+ for Over. All markets include postponement (remain open) and cancellation (50-50 split) handling. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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