TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Bundesliga match between VfL Wolfsburg and FC Augsburg scheduled for February 21, 2026. Markets track three mutually exclusive outcomes: Wolfsburg win, Augsburg win, or draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's cancellation clause for the draw market conflicts with its win markets, and Kalshi omits cancellation guidance entirely. This creates potential settlement ambiguity if the match is canceled without a make-up game.Hero Tip:
Monitor for any cancellation announcement. If the match is canceled with no rescheduled date, expect Polymarket's draw market to resolve YES while win markets resolve NO—a logically inconsistent outcome. Kalshi's lack of explicit cancellation language means traders should seek clarification from Kalshi support before the match date. Consider hedging across platforms if cancellation risk is material.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Wolfsburg win YES/NO, Augsburg win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO). Wolfsburg and Augsburg win markets resolve NO on cancellation with no make-up. Draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no make-up. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve Yes' (draw) vs. 'this market will resolve No' (win markets).Kalshi:
Three outcome-specific markets (Augsburg wins, Wolfsburg wins, Tie). Each resolves YES if its outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key quote: 'If [outcome] wins the Wolfsburg vs Augsburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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