TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sports
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC
polymarket
kalshi

VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC

Volume:
$1,156,577

Celtic FC

 - Polymarket

Celtic FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 27, 2026

Closed: Feb 26, 12:45 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Celtic FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$180,783
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

VfB Stuttgart

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$899,830
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,341
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Stuttgart wins by over 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,996
N/A
N/A
$10,809
Settled
No
kalshi

Celtic wins by over 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,779
N/A
N/A
$8,496
Settled
No
kalshi

Stuttgart wins by over 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,245
N/A
N/A
$2,732
Settled
No
kalshi

Celtic wins by over 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,603
N/A
N/A
$2,603
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers the VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC match scheduled for February 26, 2026, a professional Europa League soccer game. Markets span three outcome categories (Stuttgart win, draw, Celtic win) on Polymarket, and four margin-of-victory thresholds on Kalshi. The core resolution hinges on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi diverge on cancellation protocol. Polymarket's draw market resolves YES if canceled; win markets resolve NO. Kalshi margin-of-victory markets lack explicit cancellation guidance, creating settlement ambiguity.Hero tip: Traders should seek clarification from Kalshi on whether canceled games with no make-up resolve NO (aligning with Polymarket win markets) or remain OPEN. The Polymarket draw market's YES-on-cancellation rule is asymmetric and may present arbitrage or hedge opportunities if exploited before game day.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets (Stuttgart win, draw, Celtic win). Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation with no make-up resolves draw to YES and win markets to NO. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market only).
  • Kalshi: Four margin-of-victory markets (Celtic >2.5 goals, Stuttgart >1.5 goals, Celtic >1.5 goals, Stuttgart >2.5 goals). No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Key Quote: 'If [team] wins by more than [X] goals in the Celtic at Stuttgart professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.