TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a best-of-three Valorant match between SaD Esports and QoR in the VCL North America Playoffs scheduled for February 19, 2026. Markets span match winner, individual map winners (Map 1 and Map 2), games total over/under 2.5, and map handicaps. Polymarket offers five granular markets with consistent resolution logic, while Kalshi offers a single binary market on match outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market is logically non-falsifiable (resolves Yes regardless of outcome) and lacks primary resolution source, timing, and edge-case rules. Polymarket markets are well-defined but Kalshi diverges fundamentally in scope and resolvability.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket markets as the authoritative settlement framework. Kalshi's market cannot be audited or settled fairly without explicit source and timing amendment. Request clarification from Kalshi before trading or flag for manual review.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Five granular markets (match winner, Map 1, Map 2, games total, two handicaps) with explicit vlr.gg primary source, 12-hour (or 2-hour for one handicap) publication window, consensus fallback, and detailed edge-case handling. Forfeit/walkover/disqualification scenarios explicitly addressed per market. Match winner resolves 50-50 on forfeit/disqualification/walkover; map markets resolve 50-50 if map not completed; games total resolves 50-50 on incomplete match with forfeiture.Kalshi:
Single binary market: 'If QoR wins...then Yes. If SaD Esports wins...then Yes.' No primary resolution source, no timing window, no edge-case rules. Market logically resolves to Yes in all outcomes, making it non-falsifiable and unresolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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