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$1,434,646,834

406,019

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2,689

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5

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Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha
kalshi
polymarket

Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha

Volume:
$74,676

Match Winner

 - Polymarket

Match Winner - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 1, 2026

Closed: Apr 1, 11:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Match Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$52,373
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 1 Winner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,540
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

FunPlus Phoenix

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,007
N/A
N/A
$932
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map 2 Winner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,157
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Games

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$282
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Map Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs FunPlus Phoenix (+1.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,821
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

JD Gaming

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,496
N/A
N/A
$793
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This market refers to the Valorant match between JD Gaming and FunPlus Phoenix in the VCT China Group Alpha, initially scheduled for April 1 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against FunPlus Phoenix. This market will resolve to "FunPlus Phoenix" if FunPlus Phoenix win the match against JD Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi and Polymarket diverge on the scope of resolution. Kalshi's market resolves YES if either team wins Map 2, making it a tautology that always resolves YES. Polymarket offers granular markets for Map 1 winner, Map 2 winner, match winner, handicap, and total maps, each with specific resolution logic tied to individual outcomes.Hero tip: Kalshi's Map 2 market is logically flawed—it resolves YES regardless of which team wins, so avoid it as a predictive instrument. Use Polymarket's individual markets (Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Match Winner, Handicap, Total Maps) for meaningful price discovery and hedging.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi offers only one market with a tautological resolution rule. The market states 'If FunPlus Phoenix wins map 2... then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If JD Gaming wins map 2... then the market resolves to Yes.' This means the market resolves YES regardless of outcome, making it non-predictive. No resolution source, timing, or edge-case handling is specified.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with standard prediction market design: Polymarket offers five distinct markets (Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Match Winner, Handicap, Total Maps) each with binary or categorical outcomes tied to specific team performance or match structure. All markets reference vlr.gg as primary source with 2-hour fallback to credible consensus, include cancellation/delay rules (7-day threshold), and handle incomplete matches or forfeits with 50-50 resolution or outcome-based logic as appropriate. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to JD Gaming if JD Gaming win Map 2 against FunPlus Phoenix. This market will resolve to FunPlus Phoenix if FunPlus Phoenix win Map 2 against FunPlus Phoenix.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.