Valorant: FURIA Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omega

Critical divergence points:

• Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi offers only one market structure—a binary on whether Map 2 is won by either NRG or FURIA Esports. The market resolves YES if 'NRG wins map 2' OR 'FURIA Esports wins map 2', which is a logical tautology: one of these outcomes must occur if the match reaches Map 2. This creates a market that effectively resolves YES whenever the match is completed and reaches Map 2, with NO resolution only if the match is canceled, forfeited before Map 2, or delayed beyond 7 days. The resolution source is not explicitly stated.
• Polymarket: Aligned with standard sports betting conventions: Polymarket offers five distinct markets—(1) Games Total Over/Under 2.5 (resolves Over if 3+ maps played, Under if fewer than 3), (2) Match Winner (FURIA Esports or NRG), (3) Map 1 Winner, (4) Map 2 Winner, and (5) two Map Handicap variants. Each market has independent resolution criteria tied to specific outcomes. All markets explicitly reference vlr.gg as the primary resolution source with a 2-hour publication window before consensus reporting is used. Forfeits, disqualifications, and walkovers are counted toward totals and handicaps if the match is completed, but incomplete matches or pre-match forfeits resolve to 50-50.