TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the Valorant Quarterfinal 1 match between Dragon Ranger Gaming and Any Questions Gaming in the China Evolution Series Act 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for March 18 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dragon Ranger Gaming" if Dragon Ranger Gaming win the match against Any Questions Gaming. This market will resolve to "Any Questions Gaming" if Any Questions Gaming win the match against Dragon Ranger Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves on match outcome (winner determination only), while Polymarket offers multiple derivative markets (map handicaps, individual map winners, games total) with distinct resolution criteria. Kalshi's binary approach conflicts with Polymarket's granular market structure and differing edge-case handling for forfeits and incomplete matches.Hero Tip:
If betting across both platforms, note that Kalshi resolves YES for either team winning the match, while Polymarket's map handicap and map-winner markets have different thresholds and forfeit rules. A match decided by forfeit may resolve differently on Kalshi (to the winning team) versus Polymarket's handicap markets (50-50). Verify which specific market you are trading before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Distinct stance: Kalshi offers a single binary market that resolves YES if either Any Questions Gaming or Dragon Ranger Gaming wins the match, with no distinction between outcomes. The resolution rule states 'If Any Questions Gaming wins... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Dragon Ranger Gaming wins... then the market resolves to Yes,' meaning both outcomes trigger YES. This is a logical contradiction that makes the market unresolvable as written.Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers four separate markets (match winner, map handicaps for both teams, individual map winners, and games total) each with specific resolution criteria. For example, the match-winner market resolves to the actual winning team (not YES for both), map handicaps require a 2-map margin, and forfeit/incomplete-match scenarios resolve to 50-50 unless the clinching map is forfeited. The resolution source is vlr.gg with a 2-hour fallback window.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.