TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market refers to the Valorant match between BBL Esports and Eternal Fire in the VCT EMEA Group Omega, initially scheduled for April 8 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "BBL Esports" if BBL Esports win the match against Eternal Fire. This market will resolve to "Eternal Fire" if Eternal Fire win the match against BBL Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket and Kalshi diverge fundamentally on scope and resolution logic. Polymarket offers granular map-level and series-level markets with detailed contingency rules for incomplete matches and forfeits, while Kalshi provides only a binary match-winner market with no contingency framework, creating unresolvable ambiguity for incomplete or forfeited matches.Hero Tip:
If you trade on Polymarket, your outcome depends on which specific market you choose (Map 1, Map 2, series winner, or handicap) and detailed rules about forfeits and incomplete play. On Kalshi, you get only a simple match-winner binary with no guidance on how forfeits or incomplete matches resolve—this creates settlement risk. Avoid Kalshi if the match is at risk of cancellation, delay beyond 7 days, or forfeit, as Kalshi's rules do not address these scenarios.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket offers five separate markets (Map 1 Winner, Map 2 Winner, Match Winner, Games Total O/U 2.5, and two Map Handicap variants) with explicit resolution rules for incomplete matches, forfeits, disqualifications, walkovers, and delays beyond 7 days. All Polymarket markets resolve 50-50 if the match is canceled, not played, delayed beyond 7 days without play beginning, or if individual maps are not completed. For the series winner, forfeits/walkovers/disqualifications that occur during the match result in resolution to the winning team, but pre-match forfeits resolve 50-50. Source is vlr.gg with 2-hour fallback to credible reporting and video evidence.Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi provides a single binary match-winner market ('If BBL Esports wins... then Yes. If Eternal Fire wins... then Yes.') with no contingency rules for cancellation, delay, forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or incomplete play. The market structure itself is logically incoherent—both outcomes resolve to 'Yes'—and no resolution source, fallback procedure, or edge-case handling is specified. This creates critical ambiguity: if the match is canceled, delayed, forfeited, or incomplete, Kalshi provides no guidance on how to resolve.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.