TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna
kalshi
polymarket

Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna

Volume:
$378,871

Valencia CF

 - Polymarket

Valencia CF - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Mar 1, 10:15 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Valencia CF

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$205,465
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CA Osasuna

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$103,599
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,620
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Valencia wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,290
N/A
N/A
$1,974
Settled
No
kalshi

Osasuna wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$786
N/A
N/A
$786
Settled
No
kalshi

Valencia wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$750
N/A
N/A
$750
Settled
No
kalshi

Osasuna wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$361
N/A
N/A
$316
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event group covers the La Liga match between Valencia CF (home) and CA Osasuna scheduled for March 1, 2026. Kalshi offers four binary markets on goal-differential thresholds (>1.5 and >2.5 goals for each team), while Polymarket offers three markets on match outcome (Valencia win, draw, Osasuna win). Both platforms resolve based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi markets settle on goal-differential thresholds (>1.5 or >2.5 goals for either team), while Polymarket markets settle on binary match outcome (win/draw/loss). These represent different settlement value types and are not directly comparable or hedgeable against each other.Hero tip: Understand the market type before trading. Kalshi requires a specific goal margin; Polymarket requires only the final result. A 2-1 Valencia win resolves YES on Polymarket but NO on Kalshi's >2.5 threshold. These are complementary but distinct markets, not substitutes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Four binary markets on goal-differential thresholds. Resolves YES if Valencia wins by >2.5 goals, Valencia wins by >1.5 goals, Osasuna wins by >2.5 goals, or Osasuna wins by >1.5 goals. Settlement value is the final goal margin, not the match outcome alone.
  • Polymarket: Three outcome-classification markets: Valencia win, draw, Osasuna win. Resolves YES/NO based on match result only (win/draw/loss), regardless of goal margin. Settlement value is the match classification, not the margin of victory.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.