TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Kyōto Sanga FC
kalshi
polymarket

V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Kyōto Sanga FC

Volume:
$72,240

Kyoto Sanga

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 18, 2026

Closed: Mar 18, 9:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kyoto Sanga

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$21,545
N/A
N/A
$10,231
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kyōto Sanga FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,257
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

V-Varen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,979
N/A
N/A
$8,581
Settled
No
polymarket

V-Varen Nagasaki

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,300
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,410
N/A
N/A
$8,708
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Kyōto Sanga FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,749
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

V-Varen Nagasaki and Kyōto Sanga FC are scheduled to compete in a J1 League professional soccer match on March 18, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a V-Varen win, a Kyōto Sanga win, or a draw. All resolution criteria are evaluated based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcomes (Tie, V-Varen win, Kyoto Sanga win) resolve to YES, making it impossible to determine which single outcome occurred. Polymarket correctly structures three separate binary markets (V-Varen win, Kyoto Sanga win, Draw) where exactly one resolves YES based on the actual match result.Hero tip: Do not trade Kalshi's market as written—it violates basic market logic by resolving YES for every possible outcome. Polymarket's three-market structure is the only coherent approach. If you must reference Kalshi, treat it as a data integrity failure pending clarification from the platform.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Outlier: Market structure is logically contradictory. All three conditional statements resolve to YES regardless of outcome: 'If Tie wins...resolves to Yes,' 'If V-Varen wins...resolves to Yes,' and 'If Kyoto Sanga wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates an unresolvable market where every possible match result triggers YES, violating fundamental market design principles.
  • Polymarket: Aligned with sound market logic: Three separate binary markets (V-Varen win YES/NO, Kyoto Sanga win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO) where exactly one resolves YES based on the 90-minute match result. Resolution source is official J-League statistics or credible reporting within 2 hours. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation resolves Draw to YES and win markets to NO.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.