TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
V-Varen Nagasaki and Kyōto Sanga FC are scheduled to compete in a J1 League professional soccer match on March 18, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a V-Varen win, a Kyōto Sanga win, or a draw. All resolution criteria are evaluated based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically incoherent: all three outcomes (Tie, V-Varen win, Kyoto Sanga win) resolve to YES, making it impossible to determine which single outcome occurred. Polymarket correctly structures three separate binary markets (V-Varen win, Kyoto Sanga win, Draw) where exactly one resolves YES based on the actual match result.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market as written—it violates basic market logic by resolving YES for every possible outcome. Polymarket's three-market structure is the only coherent approach. If you must reference Kalshi, treat it as a data integrity failure pending clarification from the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Market structure is logically contradictory. All three conditional statements resolve to YES regardless of outcome: 'If Tie wins...resolves to Yes,' 'If V-Varen wins...resolves to Yes,' and 'If Kyoto Sanga wins...resolves to Yes.' This creates an unresolvable market where every possible match result triggers YES, violating fundamental market design principles.Polymarket:
Aligned with sound market logic: Three separate binary markets (V-Varen win YES/NO, Kyoto Sanga win YES/NO, Draw YES/NO) where exactly one resolves YES based on the 90-minute match result. Resolution source is official J-League statistics or credible reporting within 2 hours. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation resolves Draw to YES and win markets to NO.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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