TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A men's college basketball game between UTSA Roadrunners and Rice Owls scheduled for March 8, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. Markets cover moneyline (winner), point spreads at -11.5 and -12.5, and total points over/under 150.5.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: both UTSA win and Rice win are specified to resolve to Yes, making every outcome resolve Yes and rendering the market unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are logically sound and use standard sports betting conventions.Hero Tip:
Do not trade or settle against Kalshi's UTSA vs Rice moneyline. The market specification is broken. Polymarket's three markets (moneyline, -11.5 spread, -12.5 spread, O/U 150.5) are all resolvable and consistent with NCAA basketball rules. Demand Kalshi clarify or cancel their malformed market before any money changes hands.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline: resolves to UTSA Roadrunners if UTSA wins, Rice Owls if Rice wins. Spreads: Rice -11.5 resolves Rice if win by 12+, otherwise UTSA; Rice -12.5 resolves Rice if win by 13+, otherwise UTSA. O/U 150.5: Over if combined 151+, Under if less. Cancellation without makeup = 50-50. All logic is coherent and standard.Kalshi:
Moneyline: 'If UTSA wins...resolves to Yes. If Rice wins...resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to Yes, creating a logical impossibility. No specification for what resolves to No. Market is unresolvable as written.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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