TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$244,265,276
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,349,697,137
578,254
Markets across
14,382
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,099
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Utah Valley Wolverines and Utah Tech Trailblazers scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 9:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting (margin of victory), and over/under total points across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi exhibits structural redundancy with 14 overlapping spread markets using exclusive thresholds, while Polymarket provides clean, non-overlapping markets using inclusive thresholds. A 1-point resolution gap exists between platforms at exact margin boundaries.Hero Tip:
Treat Polymarket spreads (-6.5, -7.5, -8.5) as the canonical market structure. On Kalshi, identify the specific margin threshold for each market ID before trading. At exact margins (e.g., 7-point win), outcomes diverge: Polymarket -6.5 resolves Yes, Kalshi >6.5 resolves No. Recommend trading Polymarket for clarity.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
14 markets with overlapping spread conditions. Utah Valley wins by >3.5, >6.5, >9.5, >12.5, >15.5, >18.5, >21.5 points all resolve Yes; Utah Tech wins by >3.5, >6.5, >9.5, >12.5, >15.5, >18.5, >21.5 points all resolve Yes. Uses exclusive threshold ("more than"). Creates logical redundancy where a single game outcome triggers multiple market resolutions.Polymarket:
Moneyline: binary winner (Utah Valley or Utah Tech). Spreads: three distinct markets at -6.5, -7.5, -8.5 (Utah Valley favored). Over/Under: 147.5 and 148.5 combined points. Uses inclusive threshold ("by X or more points"). Mutually exclusive outcomes per market.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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