TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Utah Utes vs. Baylor Bears men's college basketball game scheduled for March 7, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET in Waco. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread (-12.5 Baylor), and multiple over/under total points thresholds across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Over/Under total points thresholds differ between Polymarket and Kalshi. Polymarket uses 149.5 and 148.5 with inclusive boundaries (150+ and 149+ respectively), while Kalshi offers granular thresholds (134.5 through 166.5) with exclusive boundaries (over X). In the 148.5-149.5 range, a final score of 149 points triggers different outcomes on the two platforms.Hero Tip:
Focus on the exact threshold and boundary rule for any O/U market you trade. A combined score of 149 points resolves Over on Polymarket 148.5 and Kalshi 148.5, but Under on Polymarket 149.5. Always confirm the platform's specific wording: Polymarket uses 'combine to score X or more', while Kalshi uses 'score over X'. This 1-point difference can determine profitability.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Two O/U markets: O/U 149.5 resolves Over if combined score is 150 or more; O/U 148.5 resolves Over if combined score is 149 or more. Uses inclusive boundary language ('combine to score X or more'). Moneyline resolves to winner; spread resolves Baylor if they win by 13+ points, otherwise Utah.Kalshi:
Twelve granular over-total markets (134.5, 136.5, 139.5, 142.5, 145.5, 148.5, 151.5, 154.5, 157.5, 160.5, 163.5, 166.5). Each resolves Yes if combined score exceeds (over) that threshold. Uses exclusive boundary language ('score over X'). No moneyline or spread markets listed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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