TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the USC Trojans vs. UCLA Bruins men's college basketball game scheduled for February 24, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), spread betting (UCLA favored by 6.5 to 7.5 points), and total points over/under (150.5). Resolution depends on final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (USC win and UCLA win) resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket moneyline correctly distinguishes outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline market. It will resolve incorrectly regardless of game outcome. Use Polymarket moneyline instead. Spread and total markets across both platforms are logically sound and can be traded with confidence.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states: If USC wins then Yes; If UCLA wins then Yes. This is a logical contradiction—both outcomes cannot both resolve to Yes. The market lacks a No outcome and cannot differentiate between teams.Polymarket:
Moneyline market states: If USC wins resolve to USC Trojans; If UCLA wins resolve to UCLA Bruins. Spread markets resolve to UCLA Bruins if margin >= threshold, else USC Trojans. Total market resolves to Over if combined score >= 151, else Under. All outcomes are mutually exclusive and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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