TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Serie B professional soccer match between US Avellino 1912 and Delfino Pescara 1936 scheduled for February 15, 2026. Markets track three possible outcomes: Avellino win, Pescara win, or a draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents a logical tautology where all three mutually exclusive outcomes (Avellino win, Pescara win, draw) resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures three independent binary markets with proper Yes/No paths.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group until the structure is corrected. Polymarket's framework is sound: three separate binary markets (Avellino Win, Pescara Win, Draw) that collectively cover all outcomes with proper No resolution for non-occurrence. Verify Kalshi's actual market terms directly with the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Presents three outcomes all resolving to Yes: Avellino win Yes, Pescara win Yes, Draw Yes. This creates a logical impossibility where every possible match result triggers Yes across all three markets simultaneously, violating basic market structure principles.Polymarket:
Correctly structures three independent binary markets: (1) Draw Yes/No, (2) Pescara Win Yes/No, (3) Avellino Win Yes/No. Each market has proper Yes and No resolution paths. Cancellation without makeup resolves Draw to Yes, other outcomes to No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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