TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
UNLV Runnin' Rebels face UC Irvine Anteaters in a men's college basketball game scheduled for March 17, 2026 at 11:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), multiple spread variations (ranging from -13.5 to +3.5), and over/under totals (139.5 to 155.5 points). The event resolves based on final score including overtime, with postponement provisions and 50-50 split for cancellation without makeup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's markets contain a logical contradiction that makes them fundamentally unresolvable. Kalshi states both outcomes (UC Irvine wins OR UNLV wins) resolve to Yes, creating an impossible condition where every game result produces the same resolution. Polymarket uses standard, mutually exclusive resolution logic where only one outcome resolves to the stated value.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi markets in this group. Kalshi's resolution rules are logically broken — both possible game outcomes are mapped to Yes, meaning the market cannot distinguish between a UC Irvine victory and a UNLV victory. All your positions on Kalshi will resolve identically regardless of the actual game result. Trade only on Polymarket, where resolution logic is sound and outcome-dependent.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Contains a critical logical contradiction. The market states 'If UC Irvine wins the UNLV at UC Irvine men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If UNLV wins the UNLV at UC Irvine men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.' This means both possible outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes), making the market unable to differentiate between a UC Irvine victory and a UNLV victory. The market is unresolvable as written.Polymarket:
Aligned with standard prediction market logic: Uses mutually exclusive resolution outcomes. Moneyline market resolves to 'UNLV Runnin' Rebels' if UNLV wins and 'UC Irvine Anteaters' if UC Irvine wins. All spread and over/under markets use standard conditional logic where only one outcome resolves to the stated value based on the final score. All 26 Polymarket markets follow logically consistent, outcome-dependent resolution rules.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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