TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$236,615,189
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,344,513,070
577,941
Markets across
14,530
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,090
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between UNLV Runnin' Rebels and San Diego State Aztecs scheduled for March 6, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at -9.5 and -10.5, and over/under totals at 152.5 and 153.5 points.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction: it states both a UNLV win and a San Diego State win resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline is logically sound with mutually exclusive outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's moneyline—it cannot be settled correctly. Rely on Polymarket's moneyline for winner determination. Polymarket's spread and total markets are all consistent and will resolve based on final score including overtime; use NCAA.com as the official score source.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline states: If UNLV wins, resolve Yes. If San Diego State wins, resolve Yes. This is logically impossible for a binary market. Key quote: 'If UNLV wins the UNLV at San Diego St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If San Diego St. wins the UNLV at San Diego St. men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Moneyline uses mutually exclusive outcomes: UNLV win resolves to UNLV Runnin' Rebels, San Diego State win resolves to San Diego State Aztecs. Spreads resolve based on margin (10+ points for -9.5, 11+ for -10.5). Totals resolve at 153+ (Over at 152.5) and 154+ (Over at 153.5). All reference final score including overtime. Key quote: 'If the UNLV Runnin' Rebels win, the market will resolve to UNLV Runnin' Rebels. If the San Diego State Aztecs win, the market will resolve to San Diego State Aztecs.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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