TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the WBB game between UMBC Retrievers and Ohio Bobcats on March 19 at 7:00 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Ohio wins OR UMBC wins), creating a logical contradiction that makes the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures the market as a binary outcome where exactly one team is the winner.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's market entirely — it is logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game result. Trade only on Polymarket, which has proper binary resolution: UMBC Retrievers or Ohio Bobcats, with postponement and cancellation clauses clearly defined.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Market resolves YES if Ohio wins OR if UMBC wins, meaning both possible outcomes trigger YES resolution. This is a logical contradiction that violates basic market design. Key quote: 'If Ohio wins the UMBC at Ohio women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If UMBC wins the UMBC at Ohio women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Market resolves to exactly one outcome — either 'UMBC Retrievers' or 'Ohio Bobcats' — based on the final score including overtime. Includes explicit handling of postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 resolution). Key quote: 'If the UMBC Retrievers win, the market will resolve to UMBC Retrievers. If the Ohio Bobcats win, the market will resolve to Ohio Bobcats.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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