TOTAL VOLUME:

$61.9b

24H VOL:

$249,705,498

24H TRANSACTIONS:

600,069,390

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,354,509,605

579,516

Markets across

14,317

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,116

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

4

Polymarket:

50%

VS.

Kalshi:

50%

BETA
polymarket
kalshi
Trending
Sports

UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson (Bantamweight, Main? Odds & Prediction Markets

Volume:
$2,640,168
PredictionHero
Raoni Barcelos vs. Montel Jackson 100%
polymarket
Barcelos to win by KO/TKO? 0%
polymarket
Raoni Barcelos 100%
kalshi
Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026Apr 2026020406080100

Closed: Apr 25, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
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Liquidity
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24h
7d
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Trade

Description

This market will resolve to "Raoni Barcelos" if Raoni Barcelos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Montel Jackson at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Montel Jackson" if Montel Jackson is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue:

Kalshi market resolves YES for ANY outcome (either fighter wins), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract. Polymarket markets are properly structured with mutually exclusive outcomes.

Hero Tip:

Avoid the Kalshi market entirely—it will resolve YES regardless of fight outcome, making it worthless as a prediction instrument. Trade only on Polymarket's properly structured markets (moneyline, method, rounds).

Critical Divergence Points:

  • Polymarket:

    Moneyline market resolves YES to Raoni Barcelos if he wins, YES to Montel Jackson if he wins, with 50-50 for draw/no-contest/postponement beyond May 9, 2026. Each outcome is mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive. Quote: 'This market will resolve to Raoni Barcelos if Raoni Barcelos is officially declared the winner... It will resolve to Montel Jackson if Montel Jackson is officially declared the winner.'

  • Kalshi:

    Market resolves YES if Raoni Barcelos wins OR if Montel Jackson wins—meaning YES is guaranteed regardless of which fighter prevails. This creates a logical contradiction where the market cannot resolve NO under any normal fight outcome. Quote: 'If Raoni Barcelos wins the Jackson vs Barcelos professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Montel Jackson wins the Jackson vs Barcelos professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

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PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.