TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Description
This market will resolve to "Mario Pinto" if Mario Pinto is officially declared the winner of the fight against Felipe Franco at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Felipe Franco" if Felipe Franco is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket provides comprehensive market definitions with detailed resolution criteria across 9 distinct markets (winner, distance, submission, KO/TKO, round thresholds), while Kalshi provides only 2 incomplete market definitions that lack essential resolution logic, timing windows, and edge case handling. This creates a fundamental data integrity failure on the Kalshi side.Hero Tip:
If you are trading on Kalshi, exercise extreme caution: the market definitions are incomplete and do not specify how draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond April 4, 2026 will resolve. Polymarket markets are fully specified with clear 50-50 fallback rules for all contingencies. Consider Polymarket as the authoritative source for this event group.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier (complete specification): Polymarket defines 9 distinct markets with comprehensive resolution logic including winner determination, distance/round thresholds, method of victory (submission, KO/TKO), and explicit 50-50 fallback rules for draws, no contests, technical decisions, cancellations, or postponements beyond April 4, 2026. Key quote: 'If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.'Kalshi:
Outlier (incomplete specification): Kalshi provides only 2 market definitions that state 'If Mario Pinto wins... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Felipe Franco wins... then the market resolves to Yes' without specifying resolution outcomes for draws, no contests, technical decisions, cancellations, postponements, or any other contingency. No fallback logic or edge case handling is provided. Key quote: 'If Mario Pinto wins the Pinto vs Franco professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
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