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UFC Fight Night: Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco (Heavyweight, Prelims)
polymarket
kalshi

UFC Fight Night: Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco (Heavyweight, Prelims)

Volume:
$850,059

Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco

 - Polymarket

Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 21, 2026

Closed: Mar 21, 11:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Mario Pinto vs. Felipe Franco

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$263,729
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mario Pinto

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$213,682
N/A
N/A
$168,420
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Pinto to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$452
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$8,725
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$429
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$395
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$244
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Felipe Franco

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$361,470
N/A
N/A
$319,676
Settled
No
polymarket

Franco to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$455
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$319
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Mario Pinto" if Mario Pinto is officially declared the winner of the fight against Felipe Franco at UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy, scheduled for March 21, 2026. It will resolve to "Felipe Franco" if Felipe Franco is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket provides comprehensive market definitions with detailed resolution criteria across 9 distinct markets (winner, distance, submission, KO/TKO, round thresholds), while Kalshi provides only 2 incomplete market definitions that lack essential resolution logic, timing windows, and edge case handling. This creates a fundamental data integrity failure on the Kalshi side.Hero tip: If you are trading on Kalshi, exercise extreme caution: the market definitions are incomplete and do not specify how draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond April 4, 2026 will resolve. Polymarket markets are fully specified with clear 50-50 fallback rules for all contingencies. Consider Polymarket as the authoritative source for this event group.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Outlier (complete specification): Polymarket defines 9 distinct markets with comprehensive resolution logic including winner determination, distance/round thresholds, method of victory (submission, KO/TKO), and explicit 50-50 fallback rules for draws, no contests, technical decisions, cancellations, or postponements beyond April 4, 2026. Key quote: 'If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.'
  • Kalshi: Outlier (incomplete specification): Kalshi provides only 2 market definitions that state 'If Mario Pinto wins... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If Felipe Franco wins... then the market resolves to Yes' without specifying resolution outcomes for draws, no contests, technical decisions, cancellations, postponements, or any other contingency. No fallback logic or edge case handling is provided. Key quote: 'If Mario Pinto wins the Pinto vs Franco professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Mar 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.