TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a UFC Fight Night flyweight bout between Kevin Borjas and Imanol Rodriguez scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets span winner prediction, fight duration (rounds), finish method (KO/TKO vs submission), and distance completion across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi winner markets lack explicit edge-case handling and create logical ambiguity by resolving both fighter outcomes to Yes. Polymarket provides comprehensive edge-case rules (50-50 for draw, no-contest, cancellation) and method-specific resolution paths. Event name and date align, but resolution scope and contingency handling diverge.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's winner markets appear to have specification gaps. Before settlement, clarify with Kalshi whether a draw or no-contest resolves to Yes, No, or a split. Polymarket's framework is complete and auditable; use it as the reference standard. If Kalshi does not specify, request amendment or treat the market as unresolvable until clarification.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Winner markets state: 'If Imanol Rodriguez Pillado wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Kevin Borjas wins... resolves to Yes.' No explicit handling of draws, no-contests, cancellations, or postponements. Logical structure suggests both outcomes map to Yes, leaving no resolution path for non-decisive results.Polymarket:
All markets include explicit 50-50 resolution for no-contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 14, 2026. Method markets (KO/TKO, submission, distance) resolve Yes/No based on finish type; winner market resolves to fighter name or 50-50 for draw/no-contest/cancel. Source: official UFC information.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.