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UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Main Card)
kalshi
polymarket

UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Imanol Rodriguez (Flyweight, Main Card)

Volume:
$533,357

Imanol Rodriguez Pillado

 - Kalshi

Imanol Rodriguez Pillado - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 1, 2026

Closed: Mar 1, 1:20 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Imanol Rodriguez Pillado

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$147,073
N/A
N/A
$141,905
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Rodriguez to win by KO/TKO?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,953
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,102
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$544
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$175
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Borjas vs. Rodriguez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$234,559
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Kevin Borjas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$145,291
N/A
N/A
$134,808
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$763
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$373
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Borjas to win by KO/TKO?

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$249
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This event group covers a UFC Fight Night flyweight bout between Kevin Borjas and Imanol Rodriguez scheduled for February 28, 2026. Markets span winner prediction, fight duration (rounds), finish method (KO/TKO vs submission), and distance completion across Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi winner markets lack explicit edge-case handling and create logical ambiguity by resolving both fighter outcomes to Yes. Polymarket provides comprehensive edge-case rules (50-50 for draw, no-contest, cancellation) and method-specific resolution paths. Event name and date align, but resolution scope and contingency handling diverge.Hero tip: Kalshi's winner markets appear to have specification gaps. Before settlement, clarify with Kalshi whether a draw or no-contest resolves to Yes, No, or a split. Polymarket's framework is complete and auditable; use it as the reference standard. If Kalshi does not specify, request amendment or treat the market as unresolvable until clarification.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Winner markets state: 'If Imanol Rodriguez Pillado wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Kevin Borjas wins... resolves to Yes.' No explicit handling of draws, no-contests, cancellations, or postponements. Logical structure suggests both outcomes map to Yes, leaving no resolution path for non-decisive results.
  • Polymarket: All markets include explicit 50-50 resolution for no-contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 14, 2026. Method markets (KO/TKO, submission, distance) resolve Yes/No based on finish type; winner market resolves to fighter name or 50-50 for draw/no-contest/cancel. Source: official UFC information.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.