TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)
kalshi
polymarket

UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Volume:
$1,859,501

Davey Grant

 - Kalshi

Davey Grant - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 26, 2026

Closed: Apr 26, 1:40 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Davey Grant

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$660,933
N/A
N/A
$415,099
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Davey Grant vs. Adrian Luna Martinetti

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$274,528
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Juan Adrian Luna Martinetti

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$917,477
N/A
N/A
$647,010
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight to Go the Distance?

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,483
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5 Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5 Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$464
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5 Rounds

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$172
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Martinetti to win by KO/TKO?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,566
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by submission?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$397
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Grant to win by KO/TKO?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fight won by KO/TKO?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$64
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to "Davey Grant" if Davey Grant is officially declared the winner of the fight against Adrian Luna Martinetti at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal, scheduled for April 25, 2026. It will resolve to "Adrian Luna Martinetti" if Adrian Luna Martinetti is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms (Polymarket and Kalshi) resolve based on official UFC determination of fight outcome, with identical handling of draws, no contests, cancellations, and postponements beyond May 9, 2026.Primary resolution logic: Official UFC announcement and fight records

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves based on the official UFC declaration of the fight result between Davey Grant and Adrian Luna Martinetti scheduled for April 25, 2026 at UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal.
  • Winner market resolves YES to the fighter officially declared the winner by UFC; if draw, technical draw, no contest, or not scored, resolves 50-50.
  • Method-specific markets (KO/TKO, submission, distance) resolve YES only if the specified outcome occurs; otherwise NO.
  • Round threshold markets (O/U 0.5, 1.5, 2.5) resolve Over/Under based on whether fight duration exceeds the specified round mark; if fight ends exactly at threshold, resolves 50-50.
  • If fight is canceled or postponed beyond May 9, 2026, all markets resolve 50-50.
  • Kalshi's binary structure (Yes if either fighter wins) is logically equivalent to Polymarket's head-to-head structure, as exactly one fighter will be declared the official winner in standard resolution scenarios.
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official UFC announcement of fight result, no later than the event date of April 25, 2026, with a backstop deadline of May 9, 2026 for postponements.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.