UFC Fight Night: Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady vs. Shem Rock (Lightweight, Prelims)

Critical divergence points:

• Polymarket: Outlier: Polymarket offers 8 separate markets with granular resolution rules. Each market specifies exact thresholds (e.g., 'Over 1.5 Rounds resolves YES if fight continues past 2:30 of Round 2'), tie-breaking logic ('If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve 50-50'), and comprehensive edge cases ('If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond April 4, 2026, all options will resolve 50-50'). Winner market resolves to named fighter or 50-50 if draw/no-contest/canceled/postponed. KO/TKO markets explicitly exclude draws and disqualifications (resolve NO). Distance market requires full rounds completed and judge scorecards. Submission market similarly excludes draws and disqualifications.
• Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi provides a single binary market ('If Shem Rock wins... then YES. If Abdul Kareem Alselwady wins... then Yes.') with no resolution rules, no edge-case handling, no specification of what constitutes a 'win', and no guidance on draws, disqualifications, no-contests, cancellations, or postponements. The market is logically incomplete: it does not state what happens if the fight is ruled a draw, no-contest, or canceled, nor does it define the resolution source or timing.