UFC 327: Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Critical divergence points:

• Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi structures the market as six separate binary outcomes, one for each fighter per round (Rounds 1, 2, 3). Each market resolves YES if that fighter wins in that specific round: 'If Kelvin Gastelum wins the Kelvin Gastelum vs. Vicente Luque UFC fight originally scheduled for Apr 11, 2026 in Round 1, then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a round-specific settlement logic where exactly one of the six markets will resolve YES (or all resolve NO if the fight goes to decision).
• Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures the market as multiple independent categorical markets: (1) winner (Gastelum vs Luque vs 50-50 draw/NC), (2) Vicente Luque KO/TKO win, (3) submission finish, (4-6) over/under round thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5), (7) Gastelum KO/TKO win, and (8) fight goes the distance. Each market resolves independently based on method and duration: 'This market will resolve to "Kelvin Gastelum" if Kelvin Gastelum is officially declared the winner' and 'Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight...lasts beyond the listed round threshold.' This creates a method-and-duration-specific settlement logic where multiple markets can resolve YES simultaneously (e.g., Gastelum wins AND fight goes distance).