TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
UD Las Palmas and Granada CF are scheduled to compete in a La Liga 2 (Spanish second division) match on April 2, 2026. The event outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Both platforms offer complementary binary markets covering all three possible outcomes: Las Palmas win, Granada win, or draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary markets (Las Palmas win, Granada win, draw), each resolving independently based on match outcome. Kalshi presents a single market with three non-mutually-exclusive YES conditions, creating a logical contradiction where all three outcomes cannot simultaneously resolve to YES, yet the market structure implies they could.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market without clarification from the platform. The three YES conditions (Granada wins, Tie, Las Palmas wins) are mutually exclusive in reality but the market structure does not explicitly prevent multiple simultaneous YES resolutions. Polymarket's three separate binary markets eliminate this ambiguity entirely.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Distinct stance: Polymarket structures the event as three separate binary markets, each resolving independently to YES or NO based on a single outcome (Las Palmas win, Granada win, or draw). Exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES. Each market uses the official LaLiga statistics as primary source and references 90 minutes plus stoppage time only: 'If UD Las Palmas wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi presents a single market with three separate YES conditions listed sequentially (Granada wins, Tie, Las Palmas wins), but does not explicitly state whether these conditions are mutually exclusive or whether the market resolves YES if any one, some, or all conditions occur. The market structure is ambiguous: 'If Granada wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins... then the market resolves to Yes. If Las Palmas wins... then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates logical uncertainty about simultaneous resolution.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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