TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional La Liga 2 soccer match between UD Las Palmas and CD Castellón scheduled for February 21, 2026. Three binary markets track the three possible outcomes: a Castellón win, a Las Palmas win, or a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket's draw market resolves YES on cancellation with no makeup, while Kalshi provides no explicit cancellation clause for any outcome market. This creates asymmetric resolution risk for the draw/tie outcome.Hero Tip:
Request written confirmation from Kalshi on their cancellation protocol before match day. If you are long the draw on Polymarket and short the tie on Kalshi, a cancellation event would create a profitable divergence. Conversely, if short draw on Polymarket and long tie on Kalshi, cancellation creates a loss. Hedge or exit positions if cancellation risk rises.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate binary markets (Castellón win, Las Palmas win, Draw). Draw market explicitly resolves YES if game is canceled with no makeup. Win markets resolve NO on cancellation. All resolve on 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Source: La Liga official schedule.Kalshi:
Three outcome markets (Castellón win, Tie, Las Palmas win) each resolve YES only if that outcome occurs after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation clause provided for any market. Implies cancellation may resolve NO or remain unresolved.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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