TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between UCLA Bruins and Michigan State Spartans scheduled for February 17, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), over/under totals at multiple thresholds (139.5 and 140.5), and spread betting at three different lines (-7.5, -8.5, -9.5 for Michigan State).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both UCLA win and Michigan State win outcomes resolve to identical value (Yes), making the market unresolvable. Polymarket markets maintain consistent binary logic across all products.Hero Tip:
Do not rely on Kalshi moneyline for settlement. Use Polymarket markets as primary reference. Verify Kalshi market wording directly with platform support before execution, as this appears to be a critical template or data entry error that prevents proper settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to UCLA Bruins if UCLA wins, Michigan State Spartans if Michigan State wins. Spreads resolve based on margin thresholds (-7.5, -8.5, -9.5). Over/unders resolve based on combined score (140+ or 141+). All markets include explicit postponement-hold and 50-50 cancellation rules. Source: NCAA.com. Final score includes overtime.Kalshi:
Moneyline states: 'If UCLA wins... resolves to Yes. If Michigan St. wins... resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to identical resolution value, creating logical impossibility. No explicit edge case handling provided. This contradicts standard binary market design.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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