TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.8b
24H VOL:
$257,828,392
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,664,501
579,454
Markets across
14,299
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,106
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the CBB game between UCF Knights and UCLA Bruins on March 20 at 12:00 AM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi and Polymarket resolve on fundamentally different events: Kalshi settles on the first-half result of the UCF vs UCLA game, while Polymarket settles on the full-game final result (including overtime). These are distinct underlying events with different outcomes and timing.Hero Tip:
Do not cross-trade between Kalshi and Polymarket on this group. A Kalshi YES (first half tie, UCLA lead, or UCF lead) does not predict a Polymarket outcome (full-game winner or spread). The markets are measuring different games—first half vs. complete game. Verify which event you are betting on before entering any position.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi resolves YES if ANY of three first-half outcomes occur: tie, UCLA win, or UCF win in the first half only. The market description states 'If Tie is the result of the first half of regulation time... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If UCLA is the winner of the first half... then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If UCF is the winner of the first half... then the market resolves to Yes.' This is a first-half-only settlement, not a full-game settlement.Polymarket:
Aligned with none (distinct stance): Polymarket offers multiple full-game markets: moneyline (UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins winner), spread markets (UCLA by 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, 7.5, 8.5, 9.5, 10.5, 11.5, 12.5, 13.5 points), and over/under totals (ranging from 134.5 to 154.5 combined points). All Polymarket markets explicitly state 'The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods,' resolving on the complete game outcome, not the first half.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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