TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between UC Davis Aggies and UC Riverside Highlanders scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. Multiple prediction markets track the moneyline winner, point spread, and over/under totals across Polymarket and Kalshi platforms.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (UC Davis win and UC Riverside win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and creating a data integrity failure.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi moneyline until the platform corrects the market description. The Polymarket suite (moneyline, spread, over/unders) is logically sound and can be traded. Request clarification from Kalshi on whether the second outcome should resolve to No instead of Yes.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Moneyline: Resolves to UC Davis Aggies if they win, UC Riverside Highlanders if they win (mutually exclusive outcomes). Spread: UC Davis -2.5 resolves to UC Davis if they win by 3+ points, otherwise UC Riverside. Over/Unders at 148.5 and 149.5 resolve based on combined points. All markets: postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Key Quote: 'If the UC Davis Aggies win, the market will resolve to UC Davis Aggies. If the UC Riverside Highlanders win, the market will resolve to UC Riverside Highlanders.'Kalshi:
Moneyline: Description states 'If UC Davis wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If UC Riverside wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' Both outcomes map to identical resolution state, creating logical impossibility. No edge case handling specified for postponement or cancellation. Key Quote: 'If UC Davis wins the UC Davis at UC Riverside men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If UC Riverside wins the UC Davis at UC Riverside men's college basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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