TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between UC Davis Aggies and Cal State Fullerton Titans scheduled for February 19, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. Markets track the moneyline winner, the spread (-1.5 favoring Fullerton), and two over/under totals (156.5 and 155.5 combined points).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Cal State Fullerton win and UC Davis win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are logically consistent with clear binary or categorical outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline until the contradiction is resolved by platform support. The market cannot function as written because there is no losing outcome. Polymarket's moneyline, spread, and total markets are all logically sound and can be traded with confidence pending game completion.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market contains internal logical contradiction. States: 'If Cal State Fullerton wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If UC Davis wins... resolves to Yes'. This means both possible outcomes trigger a Yes resolution, leaving no path to a No resolution. The market is unresolvable as written.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to categorical outcome: 'UC Davis Aggies' if UC Davis wins, 'Cal State Fullerton Titans' if Fullerton wins. Spread market resolves to 'Cal State Fullerton Titans' if they win by 2+ points, otherwise 'UC Davis Aggies'. Over/Under markets (156.5 and 155.5) resolve to Over/Under based on combined score threshold. All include postponement and 50-50 cancellation provisions.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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