This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between Tulsa Golden Hurricane and Florida Atlantic Owls scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. The markets track which team wins the game, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
Kalshi market has a logical contradiction: both possible game outcomes (Tulsa win or FAU win) resolve to Yes, leaving no valid No outcome. This makes the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary contract. Polymarket correctly structures this as a two-outcome categorical (winner selection).
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi's version until the platform clarifies the missing No outcome. Polymarket's structure is logically sound: one team wins, market resolves to that team's name. Use Polymarket as your settlement reference.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Market resolves to Yes regardless of winner (both Tulsa win and FAU win → Yes). No explicit No outcome defined. Quote: 'If Florida Atlantic wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tulsa wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Polymarket:
Market resolves to winning team name: either 'Tulsa Golden Hurricane' or 'Florida Atlantic Owls'. Handles postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Quote: 'If the Tulsa Golden Hurricane win, the market will resolve to Tulsa Golden Hurricane. If the Florida Atlantic Owls win, the market will resolve to Florida Atlantic Owls.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.