TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Tulane Green Wave and Memphis Tigers scheduled for March 11, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at -3.5 and -4.5, and a total points over/under at 151.5.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Memphis win and Tulane win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's markets are internally consistent with standard sports betting resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi moneyline as written—it is logically broken. Polymarket's moneyline, spreads, and total are all resolvable and consistent. If you have exposure on Kalshi, escalate to platform support immediately to clarify whether the Yes resolution should be conditional (e.g., only one team) or if this is a data entry error.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Moneyline market states: 'If Memphis wins... resolves to Yes. If Tulane wins... resolves to Yes.' This is a logical contradiction—both outcomes cannot resolve to the same result in a binary market. No explicit No condition is provided.Polymarket:
Moneyline resolves to 'Tulane Green Wave' if Tulane wins, 'Memphis Tigers' if Memphis wins. Spreads (-3.5, -4.5) resolve based on margin thresholds. Total (151.5) resolves Over/Under at 152 combined points. All markets include 50-50 cancellation provision and overtime inclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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