TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SC Preußen Münster
kalshi
polymarket

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SC Preußen Münster

Volume:
$243,373

Tie

 - Kalshi

Tie - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 13, 2026

Closed: Feb 13, 3:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$3,062
$39,881
N/A
N/A
$23,627
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Dusseldorf

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$17,033
$93,112
N/A
N/A
$69,690
Settled
No
kalshi

Munster

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$5,055
$37,729
N/A
N/A
$26,143
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf vs. SC Preußen Münster)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,244
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$37,504
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

SC Preußen Münster

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,903
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Bundesliga 2 soccer match between TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf and SC Preußen Münster scheduled for February 13, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess the outcome (win/loss/draw) based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Kalshi's three mutually exclusive outcomes all resolve to Yes, creating ambiguity. Polymarket applies asymmetric cancellation rules: win markets resolve No on cancellation, but draw market resolves Yes.Hero tip: Request explicit cancellation clarification from both platforms. If the game is canceled with no makeup, Polymarket traders face a logical trap: draw market pays out while win markets do not. Kalshi's phrasing suggests all three outcomes resolve Yes if the game is played, but this needs confirmation—only one outcome can occur in a real match.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Three separate markets, each stating that if its outcome occurs, it resolves Yes. Structure implies all three resolve Yes if the game is played, but this is logically impossible since only one outcome can occur. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Key Quote: 'If Munster wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Dusseldorf wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Three separate markets with explicit cancellation rules. Dusseldorf win and Munster win markets resolve No if game is canceled; Draw market resolves Yes if game is canceled. All three resolve based on 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Key Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No"' (win markets) vs. 'this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw market).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.