TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A college basketball game between Troy Trojans and Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks scheduled for February 18, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Polymarket offers multiple markets covering moneyline, spread, and over/under outcomes, while Kalshi offers a single binary market on game completion.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (Troy win and Louisiana-Monroe win) are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket markets are internally consistent and resolvable.Hero Tip:
Trade only Polymarket markets for this event. Kalshi market requires immediate clarification from the platform before any positions should be taken. The Kalshi market as written cannot distinguish between the two teams winning.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Offers 7 distinct resolvable markets: moneyline (Troy vs Louisiana-Monroe), four spread markets with varying thresholds (-15.5, -16.5, -17.5, -18.5 points), and three over/under markets (153.5, 154.5, 155.5 total points). All resolve based on final score including overtime. Postponement keeps markets open; cancellation resolves 50-50. Each market has clear, mutually exclusive outcomes.Kalshi:
Single binary market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: Louisiana-Monroe win = Yes, Troy win = Yes. This creates logical impossibility. No clear resolution path for a No outcome or game cancellation scenario.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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