TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$249,705,498
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,354,509,605
579,516
Markets across
14,317
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,116
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the NBA game between the Portland Trail Blazers and Los Angeles Clippers scheduled for March 31 at 11:00 PM ET. The winner is determined by the final score including any overtime periods, with the market resolving to either "Trail Blazers" or "Clippers" accordingly.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market resolves YES for ANY outcome (Portland wins OR Los Angeles C wins), making it logically incoherent and fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket correctly structures mutually exclusive outcomes (Trail Blazers win → 'Trail Blazers', Clippers win → 'Clippers'), providing coherent resolution logic.Hero Tip:
Avoid Kalshi's moneyline market entirely—it is broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game result. Use Polymarket's Trail Blazers vs. Clippers moneyline for a valid binary outcome. All other Polymarket markets (spreads, totals, player props) are sound and should be your primary reference.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi's moneyline market (items 1–2) states 'If Portland wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Los Angeles C wins...then the market resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical contradiction where the market resolves YES for both possible outcomes, making it unresolvable. Key quote: 'If Portland wins the Portland at Los Angeles C professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Los Angeles C wins the Portland at Los Angeles C professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.'Polymarket:
Aligned with sound resolution logic: Polymarket's moneyline market (item 1) correctly defines mutually exclusive outcomes: 'If the Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to Trail Blazers. If the Clippers win, the market will resolve to Clippers.' All 36 additional Polymarket markets (spreads, totals, player props, first-half markets) use consistent, coherent resolution criteria tied to official NBA box scores and halftime scores. Key quote: 'If the Trail Blazers win, the market will resolve to Trail Blazers. If the Clippers win, the market will resolve to Clippers.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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