TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Champions League match between Tottenham Hotspur FC and Club Atlético de Madrid scheduled for March 18, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Tottenham win, Atlético Madrid win, or a draw. All markets evaluate the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Polymarket defines three mutually exclusive binary markets (Madrid win, Tottenham win, draw), each resolving independently to YES or NO. Kalshi defines three markets that all resolve to YES for any outcome (tie, Tottenham win, or Atletico win), making all three Kalshi markets logically identical and creating a fundamental structural contradiction between platforms.Hero Tip:
Do not trade across these platforms expecting consistent payouts. On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES. On Kalshi, all three markets will resolve YES regardless of match outcome. If you hedge by buying YES on all three Kalshi markets, you will receive full payout on all three; on Polymarket, you will lose on two of three. This is a critical structural mismatch, not a minor wording difference.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Outlier: Polymarket creates three separate binary markets where exactly one resolves YES based on the match outcome. Madrid win market resolves YES only if Madrid wins; Tottenham win market resolves YES only if Tottenham wins; draw market resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw. Key quote: 'If Club Atlético de Madrid wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'Kalshi:
Outlier: Kalshi defines three markets that all resolve to YES for any possible match outcome (tie, Tottenham win, or Atletico win). All three Kalshi markets are logically identical and will always resolve YES. Key quote: 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tottenham wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Atletico wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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